Golden Globes 2024 predictions: Who will win?

The 2024 Golden Globe Awards are back and on a new network after yet more drama. They were booted from longtime home NBC, and are now under the ownership of Dick Clark Productions.

But, even with all the changes, the ceremony — hosted by Jo Koy — should still see A-listers boozing it up and duking it out for Hollywood’s second biggest prize.

Here are The Post’s critics’ picks for which movies and TV shows will win on Sunday, Jan. 7 on CBS and Paramount+ at 8 p.m.

FILM PREDICTIONS from JOHNNY OLEKSINSKI

Motion Picture, Drama

Predicted winner: “Oppenheimer” Christopher Nolan’s epic film about the father of the atomic bomb surprisingly lifted last year’s struggling box office. But “Oppeneimer” was not only a major event — its quality matched the excitement around it.

“Killers of the Flower Moon”
“Maestro”
“Past Lives”
“The Zone of Interest”
“Anatomy of a Fall”

“Oppenheimer,” a prestige movie about a physicist, surprisingly one of the top-grossing films of 2023. ©Universal/Courtesy Everett Collection

Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

“Poor Things,” “The Holdover” and “American Fiction” all have admirers — but behemoth “Barbie” should come out on top. ©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection

Predicted winner: “Barbie” There are more worthy films in this category. But the Globes will fall over themselves for Greta Gerwig’s doll movie starring Margot Robbie.

Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Cillian Murphy goes on a morally complex journey as J. Robert Oppenheimer. ©Universal/Courtesy Everett Collection

Predicted winner: Cillian Murphy (“Oppenheimer”) Cooper could pull it off for his hammy performance as Leonard Bernstein, but the Globes, which are still voted on by international journalists, are a good place for an Irish actor like the excellent Murphy to shine.

Bradley Cooper (“Maestro”)
Leonardo DiCaprio (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
Colman Domingo (“Rustin”)
Andrew Scott (“All of Us Strangers”)
Barry Keoghan (“Saltburn”)

Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama

Lily Gladstone is devastating as a wronged woman in Martin Scorsese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon.” AP

Predicted winner: Lily Gladstone (“Killers of the Flower Moon”) Martin Scorsese’s film could pull off some upsets, but its safest bet for a win is the terrific and vulnerable Gladstone.

Carey Mulligan (“Maestro”)
Sandra Hüller (“Anatomy of a Fall”)
Annette Bening (“Nyad”)
Greta Lee (“Past Lives”)
Cailee Spaeny (“Priscilla”)

Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Robert Downey Jr. does some of the finest work of his career in “Oppenheimer.” ©Focus Features/Courtesy Everett Collection

Predicted winner: Paul Giamatti (“The Holdovers”) Wright is well-liked and very good in “American Fiction,” but Giamatti’s cranky turn as a 1970s teacher will be comforting and familiar for voters.

Nicolas Cage (“Dream Scenario”)
Timothée Chalamet (“Wonka”)
Matt Damon (“Air”)
Joaquin Phoenix (“Beau Is Afraid”)
Jeffrey Wright (“American Fiction”)

Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

After her Best Actress victory for “La La Land,” Emma Stone has become a critics and awards favorite. ©Searchlight Pictures/Courtesy Everett Collection

Predicted winner: Emma Stone (“Poor Things”If there’s any voting body that will embrace Yorgos Lanthimos’ crazy movie and Emma Stone’s out-there performance as a nympho science experiment, it’s the Globes.

Fantasia Barrino (“The Color Purple”)
Jennifer Lawrence (“No Hard Feelings”)
Natalie Portman (“May December”)
Alma Pöysti (“Fallen Leaves”)
Margot Robbie (“Barbie”)

Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture

©Universal/Courtesy Everett Collection

Predicted winner: Robert Downey Jr. (“Oppenheimer”) In another stacked category, Downey Jr. is doing some of the best work of his career — and thankfully without a cumbersome flying metal suit.

Willem Dafoe (“Poor Things”)
Robert DeNiro (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
Ryan Gosling (“Barbie”)
Charles Melton (“May December”)
Mark Ruffalo (“Poor Things”)

Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture

Danielle Brooks (left) is a galvanizing force as Sofia in “The Color Purple.” Photographer

Predicted winner: Danielle Brooks (“The Color Purple”) Brooks’ defiant, thrilling Sofia is one of the easiest boxes to check on the entire ballot.

Emily Blunt (“Oppenheimer”)
Jodie Foster (“Nyad”)
Julianne Moore (“May December”)
Rosamund Pike (“Saltburn”)
Da’Vine Joy Randolph (“The Holdovers”)

Director

Christopher Nolan, who also directed “The Dark Knight” and “Dunkirk,” should finally win a Golden Globe for “Oppenheimer.” AP

Predicted winner: Christopher Nolan (“Oppenheimer”) He’s one of the best directors working today, and he’s never won a Globe. Right this wrong.

Bradley Cooper (“Maestro”)
Greta Gerwig (“Barbie”)
Yorgos Lanthimos (“Poor Things”)
Martin Scorsese (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
Celine Song (“Past Lives”)

Screenplay

Teo Yoo and Greta Lee were striking in the emotional “Past Lives.” Courtesy Everett Collection

Predicted winner: “Past Lives” (Celine Song) The Globes clearly admire the sublime “Past Lives” — it got more nods than expected — and a screenplay win will be a good way to show the A24 indie some love.

“Barbie” (Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach)
“Poor Things” (Tony McNamara)
“Oppenheimer” (Christopher Nolan)
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese)
“Anatomy of a Fall” (Justine Triet and Arthur Harari)

Original Score

Ludwig Göransson crafted the sort of big, booming music needed to accompany the story of the atomic bomb. AP

Ludwig Göransson (“Oppenheimer”In a year absent big, memorable marches and themes, “Oppenheimer” should win for simply having the most score.

Jerskin Fendrix (“Poor Things”)
Robbie Robertson (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
Mica Levi (“The Zone of Interest”)
Daniel Pemberton (“Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse”)
Joe Hisaishi (“The Boy and the Heron”)

Original Song

Billie Eilish should win her second Golden Globe after “No Time To Die” in 2022. FilmMagic

Predicted winner: “What Was I Made For?” from “Barbie” (Billie Eilish and FinneasNo contest.

“Dance the Night” from “Barbie” (Caroline Ailin, Dua Lipa, Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt)
“Addicted to Romance” from “She Came To Me” (Bruce Springsteen and Patti Scialfa)
“Peaces” from “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” (Jack Black, Aaron Horvath, Michael Jelenic, Eric Osmond and John Spiker)
““I’m Just Ken” from “Barbie” (Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt)
“Road to Freedom” from “Rustin” (Lenny Kravitz)


Best Animated Film

“The Boy and the Heron” is master filmmaker Hayao Miyazaki’s likely final movie. AP

Predicted winner: “The Boy and the Heron” While most people’s money is on “Spider-Verse,” it’s a sequel and legendary “Heron” director Hayao Miyazaki is admired all over the world.

“Elemental”
“Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse”
“The Super Mario Bros. Movie”
“Suzume”
“Wish”

Motion Picture, Non-English Language

Sandra Huller was a standout in 2023, receiving acclaim for her performances in both “Anatomy of a Fall” and “The Zone of Interest.” Courtesy Everett Collection

Predicted winner: “Anatomy of a Fall” (France) In a fabulous year for international films, the Globes will probably side with the Cannes Palme d’Or winner.

“The Zone of Interest” (United Kingdom)
“Fallen Leaves” (Finland)
“Io Capitano” (Italy)
“Past Lives” (United States)
“Society of the Snow” (Spain)


Cinematic and Box Office Achievement in Motion Pictures

“Barbie,” produced by and starring Margot Robbie, was a box office bulldozer in 2023. wbpictures/Twitter

Predicted winner: “Barbie” This is a stupid category. It doesn’t take J. Robert Oppenheimer to tell us that “Barbie” made the most money. Maybe they’ll give it to Taylor Swift to thank her for making the trip.

“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3”
“John Wick: Chapter 4”
“Mission: Impossible — Dead Reckoning Part One”
“Oppenheimer”
“Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse”
“The Super Mario Bros. Movie”
“Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour”

TELEVISION PREDICTIONS from MICHAEL STARR

Series, Drama

The final season of HBO’s “Succession” revealed who would take over Waystar Royco. AP

Predicted Winner: “Succession” This one’s a no-brainer. One of the most critically acclaimed, buzzy series of recent years — with riveting acting all-around — called it quits after four seasons with a take-no-prisoners finale.

“1923” (Paramount+)
“The Crown” (Netflix)
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)
“The Last of Us” (HBO)

Series, Musical or Comedy

HBO favorite “Barry,” starring Bill Hader, also aired its final season in 2023. HBO

Predicted Winner: “Barry” This year belongs to Bill Hader’s dark HBO comedy. There was not a wasted moment in its fourth and final season, which went out with a literal bang and will be remembered as one of the best series of the decade with a stellar supporting cast — including Henry Winkler, Stephen Root and, especially, Anthony Carrigan (NoHo Hank).

“The Bear” (FX)
“Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
“Jury Duty” (Freevee)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

Actor, Drama

Three “Succession” cast mates go against each other in this category, but Jeremy Strong will come out on top. HBO/IMDB

Predicted Winner: Jeremy Strong (“Succession”) Strong’s riveting performance as the assertive, anxious, doubt-ridden paradox Kendall Roy was, as they say, “a thing to behold.” My initial thought was that Strong would be canceled out in this category by his “Succession” stablemates Kieran Culkin and Brian Cox, but he was that good and will withstand the competition … life imitating art?

Pedro Pascal (“The Last of Us”)
Kieran Culkin (“Succession”)
Brian Cox (“Succession”)
Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
Dominic West (“The Crown”)

Actress, Drama

Bella Ramsey, who became famous on HBO’s “Game of Thrones,” will win for HBO’s “The Last of US.” AP

Predicted Winner: Bella Ramsey (“The Last of Us”) Ramsey’s Ellie humanized the dystopian terror of “The Last of Us” to create a character at turns compassionate, fierce, loyal, funny and sensitive. And that gallows sense of humor helps.

Helen Mirren (“1923”)
Keri Russell (“The Diplomat”)
Sarah Snook (“Succession”)
Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)
Emma Stone (“The Curse”)

Actress, Musical or Comedy

Natasha Lyonne made “Poker Face” a must-watch. Evans Vestal Ward/Peacock

Predicted Winner: Natasha Lyonne (“Poker Face”) She lit up the screen as Charlie Cale, whose flaky, brusque sense of humor and (literal) built-in B.S. detector drives this hard-charging dramedy episode after episode. Can’t wait for Season 2.

Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”)
Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”)
Rachel Brosnahan (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”)
Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”)
Elle Fanning (“The Great”)

Actor, Musical or Comedy

Season 2 of Hulu’s “The Bear” wasn’t as strong as the first, but there’s no denying star Jeremy Allen White’s excellent performance. AP

Predicted Winner: Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”) Season 1 of “The Bear” was terrific … Season 2 not so much … but there’s no doubting that White’s intensity and nuanced performance as Carmy — right down to his breakdown in the Season 2 finale — is one of the best character turns on television right now. 

Bill Hader (“Barry”)
Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”)
Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”)
Jason Segel (“Shrinking”)
Jason Sudeikis (“Ted Lasso”)

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