Hurricane Hilary could dump year of rain in Desert Southwest

All modes of tropical weather impacts from Hurricane Hilary are expected across California and the Desert Southwest, but the FOX Forecast Center is closely monitoring rainfall rates that could be historic for places that usually don’t see much.

As the moisture shield from Hilary makes its way into the Southwest on Saturday, some communities could see 100-300% of their yearly rainfall in just a three-day period.

Forecast models show areas around Death Valley, the Anz-Borrego Desert and El Centro, California, could see some of the heaviest rainfall when compared to yearly averages.

Mountainous regions of California are expected to see the most rain, but precipitation at higher elevations is not unusual.

When it falls on places that are below sea level, it is.

The expected rainfall totals of between 3 and 5 inches are anywhere from 60-275% of some communities’ expected annual rainfall totals.

During an average year, some places only see 2-5 inches of rain, but not in only a few days.

Due to the heavy rainfall threat, the region has been placed under the highest threat zone for flash flooding.

Los Cerritos in La Paz, Baja California State, Mexico, during the passage of Hurricane Hilary, on August 19.
AFP via Getty Images

Expected rainfall.
The expected rainfall totals are anywhere from 60-275% of some communities’ expected annual rainfall totals.
FOX Weather

Forecast rainfall.
Death Valley, the Anz-Borrego Desert and El Centro, California, could see some of the heaviest rainfall.
FOX Weather

Additionally, Flood Watches are in place for about 26 million residents across four states, with the heaviest rainfall expected between Sunday afternoon through Monday evening.

National Weather Service meteorologists warned excessive runoff may lead to flooding of rivers, streams and other low-lying areas.

Outdoor recreation is not advised until water levels subside and the threat of flash flooding diminishes.


Flash flood threat.
Flood Watches are in place for about 26 million residents across four states.
FOX Weather

Desert communities don’t fair well in heavy rainfall

Even though Death Valley National Park averages just 2.20 inches of rainfall yearly, the area is subject to historic flash floods.

In August 2022, monsoonal moisture dropped a record 1.70 inches of rainfall in just 24 hours.

The downpour was enough to enter the history books as the rainiest day at Furnace Creek and was considered a 1,000-year event.


A parking lot in Death Valley National Park was filled by rocks, mud and debris during flooding in 2022.
A parking lot in Death Valley National Park was filled by rocks, mud and debris during flooding in 2022.
Death Valley National Park

A parking lot in Death Valley National Park was filled by rocks, mud and debris during flooding.
In August 2022, monsoonal moisture dropped a record 1.70 inches of rainfall, washing away roads and stranding visitors.
Death Valley National Park

Park rangers reported hundreds of miles of roads were washed away, and visitors were stranded until rescue crews arrived.

Despite the historic nature of the event, there were no fatalities in the sudden rush of water.

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