Keely Hodgkinson and Jessica Gadirova tipped for gold at Paris 2024 Olympics as Team GB medal rush looms

British stars Keely Hodgkinson, Jessica Gadirova and Sky Brown are among those tipped to win gold at the Paris 2024 Olympics, with statisticians Gracenote backing Team GB to deliver another medal rush next summer.

Since claiming a shock silver over 800m at the rearranged Tokyo Olympics in 2021, Hodgkinson has established herself as Britain’s leading middle distance star and heads to the World Athletics Championships in Budapest next month as favourite.

Gadirova won the floor title at the World Artistic Gymnastic Championships in Liverpool last year and is projected to triumph in that event again in the French capital, while also claiming silver alongside twin sister Jennifer in the team event.

Skateboarder Brown, Britain’s youngest Olympic medallist of all time, also became world champion in February, aged 14, and is backed to conquer the globe again next year.

Gracenote’s Virtual Medal Table (VMT), released to mark one year until the Games open in Paris next summer, predicts Team GB will win 62 medals in Paris: 15 gold, 23 silver and 24 bronze. They won 64 in Tokyo.

Beth Shriever is forecast to defend her BMX racing title, likewise Joe Choong in the modern pentathlon, while Britain are also expected to bounce back in rowing with the oarsmen and oarswomen tipped to win eight medals – including five gold – to banish memories of a winless Tokyo.

The United States are expected to top the overall table again with 128 medals, ahead of China (68) and France (63). Although Team GB’s predicted haul of 62 medals places them fourth in the VMT, their inferior forecast of gold medals compared to Italy (20 golds) would see them bumped down to fifth in the official standings.

Who misses out for Team GB?

Adam Peaty with his Olympic medals

Image credit: Getty Images

Adam Peaty’s vice-like grip on the 100m breaststroke is finally waning, with the two-time champion ‘only’ tipped for silver in Paris, while Charlotte Worthington is forecast to win BMX park bronze despite her historic gold in Tokyo.

There is also one big caveat to the VMT: Russia and Belarus.

“With competitors from Russia and Belarus being banned from international competition in most Olympic sports since February 2022, it is not possible to assess potential performance accurately for Belarus or an eventual NOC allowing Russian competitors to take part at Paris 2024,” read the press release from Gracenote.

“For this reason, Russian and Belarussian competitors have been dropped from the Virtual Medal Table for now.”

Full list of Team GB predicted medallists at Paris 2024

Gold – 15

  • Artistic gymnastics, women’s floor: Jessica Gadirova
  • Athletics, women’s 800m: Keely Hodgkinson
  • BMX racing, women: Beth Shriever
  • Canoe slalom, men: Joe Clarke
  • Equestrian eventing: Team GB
  • Modern pentathlon, men: Joe Choong
  • Rowing: Men’s eight
  • Rowing: Men’s four
  • Rowing: Women’s four
  • Rowing, women’s lightweight double sculls: Emily Craig and Imogen Grant
  • Rowing, men’s pair: Tom George and Ollie Wynne-Griffith
  • Skateboarding, women’s park: Sky Brown
  • Taekwondo, men’s featherweight 58-68kg: Bradly Sinden
  • Track cycling, men’s omnium: Ethan Hayter
  • Trampoline, women’s individual: Bryony Page

Silver – 23

  • Artistic gymnastics: Women’s team
  • Athletics, women’s 1500m: Laura Muir
  • Canoe slalom, women: Kimberley Woods
  • Diving, men’s 3m springboard: Jack Laugher
  • Diving, men’s 3m springboard synchro: Jack Laugher and Anthony Harding
  • Diving, men’s 10m platform synchro: Matty Lee and Noah Williams
  • Equestrian dressage, individual: Lottie Fry (Glamorous Glamourdale)
  • Equestrian eventing, individual: Laura Collett (London 52)
  • Rowing: Men’s quad sculls
  • Sailing, mixed Nacra 17: John Gimson and Anna Burnet
  • Shooting, women’s skeet: Amber Rutter
  • Swimming, 50m freestyle: Ben Proud
  • Swimming, 100m breaststroke: Adam Peaty
  • Swimming, 200m backstroke: Luke Greenbank
  • Swimming, 200m freestyle: Tom Dean
  • Swimming: Mixed 4x100m medley relay
  • Swimming: Men’s 4x200m freestyle relay
  • Track cycling, women’s omnium: Kate Archibald
  • Track cycling: Men’s team pursuit
  • Triathlon, men: Alex Yee
  • Triathlon, women: Georgia Taylor-Brown
  • Triathlon: Mixed relay team
  • Weightlifting, women’s +81kg: Emily Campbell

Bronze – 24

  • Athletics, women’s 200m: Dina Asher-Smith
  • Athletics, men’s 1500m: Jake Wightman
  • Athletics: Men’s 4x100m relay
  • Athletics: Women’s 4x400m relay
  • BMX freestyle, women’s park: Charlotte Worthington
  • Canoe slalom, women’s C1: Mallory Franklin
  • Track cycling: Men’s Madison
  • Track cycling: Women’s team pursuit
  • Track cycling: Men’s team sprint
  • Track cycling: Women’s team sprint
  • Diving, women’s 10m platform: Andrea Spendolini Sirieix
  • Equestrian dressage: Team
  • Equestrian eventing, individual: Ros Canter (Lordships Graffalo)
  • Artistic gymnastics, men’s floor: Giarnni Regini-Moran
  • Judo, women’s 63kg: Lucy Renshall
  • Rowing: Women’s quad sculls
  • Rowing, men’s single sculls: Graeme Thomas
  • Sailing, Formula Kite: Eleanor Aldridge
  • Shooting, mixed team skeet: Team GB
  • Shooting, men’s trap: Matthew Coward-Holley
  • Swimming, 200m freestyle: Duncan Scott
  • Swimming, 200m individual medley: Duncan Scott
  • Swimming: Men’s 4x100m medley relay
  • Taekwondo, women’s heavyweight +67kg: Rebecca McGowan
The Paris 2024 Olympic Games will be live on Eurosport and discovery+

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