Majority of Americans say they ‘definitely’ won’t vote for Trump in 2024: poll

WASHINGTON – More than half of Americans say there’s no chance of them voting for former President Donald Trump to return to the White House in 2024, according to a national poll released Wednesday.

With Trump, 77, the clear front-runner in the Republican primary, 53% of Americans told the AP-NORC Center survey they would “definitely not” support him next November – with another 11% saying they would “probably not” pull the lever for the 45th president.

That leaves just 36% who say that they would “probably” or “definitely” support Trump in his third consecutive bid for the presidency.

But Trump’s high disapproval rating among the general public has yet to affect most Republicans, with 74% saying they would definitely or probably support the former president if he were the GOP nominee — and 63% saying they wanted Trump to keep running in 2024.

The poll was taken before a Georgia grand jury indicted Trump Monday night on 13 state counts in connection with his attempt to undo the 2020 election result in the Peach State — the fourth bill handed up against the former president in four-and-a-half months.

After Trump’s first indictment, by Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg in late March, 55% of Republicans said they wanted him to continue his campaign.

Ahead of the Georgia indictment, 51% said they thought Trump’s actions in that matter were illegal — though only 16% of Republicans agreed with that statement.

Keeping track of all of Trump’s indictments

Former President Donald Trump is facing 91 charges in four different criminal cases following his time in office.

Here are all of the legal troubles Trump will face as he heads toward the 2024 election.

Mar-a-Lago classified docs

• Trump is the first former president to receive a federal indictment.

• Trump is accused of taking around 11,000 documents, some containing sensitive national security secrets, and hoarding them in a haphazard manner at his Palm Beach, Florida, estate.
• The most serious charge, in this case, carries a penalty of up to 20 years in prison.

Stormy Daniels ‘hush money’

• Trump’s then-lawyer Michael Cohen paid Daniels $130,000 in exchange for her silence about a sexual encounter she claimed the two had.
• Trump pleaded not guilty to the charges and is trying to have the case moved to federal court. He is set to appear in court on Jan. 4, 2024.

2020 election overturn bid

• Special counsel Jack Smith charged the ex-president with four counts in connection with his attempts to overturn the 2020 election.
• Prosecutors charged that the 45th president’s incessant claims of election fraud costing him re-election “were false and [Trump] knew they were false.”

• The indictment is the second brought by Smith against the 77-year-old Trump.
• A mob of Trump supporters breached the US Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, following his speech on the Ellipse.
• The charges against the former president include violation of the Georgia’s anti-racketeering law, conspiracy, false statements, and asking a public official to violate their oath of office.

Georgia 2020 election probe

• Trump and 18 of his allies and supporters were indicted by a Georgia grand jury in connection with his efforts to overturn the 2020 election results in the Peach State.
• The former president faces 13 counts in the case, matching a docket prematurely posted to the Fulton County Superior Court’s website around noon.

New York civil cases

• The former president was sued by New York Attorney General Letitia James.
• James is alleging that Trump and three of his children lied to banks about his assets and net worth by billions.
• She is seeking a $250 million fine and a ban on Trump doing business in New York state.

• In another civil case, Trump was found liable for sexually abusing and defaming writer E. Jean Carroll in the 1990s.
• Carroll was awarded $5 million in damages from Trump.
• Trump was not found guilty of rape after the jury rejected Carroll’s claim that Trump raped her in a Bergdorf Goodman fitting room.

The legal case against the former president with the broadest support is the federal indictment against him for allegedly hoarding sensitive national security information at Mar-a-Lago, with 53% saying Trump’s actions were “illegal” and 18% of Republicans saying the same.

On the other side of the aisle, three-quarters of respondents — including 55% of Democrats — said they did not want President Biden to seek re-election. However, only 43% of Americans said they definitely would not support him in a general election, while 11% said they would “probably not.”

Meanwhile, a Quinnipiac University survey of a hypothetical Biden-Trump 2024 matchup showed the incumbent leading the former president by one percentage point in the popular vote, 47% to 46%.

The same poll also found that 54% of Americans think Trump should be prosecuted for his alleged attempts to remain in power following his defeat by Biden in 2020, while 68% said they believed anyone convicted of a felony should not be eligible to serve as president.

Both the AP/NORC and Quinnipiac University polls were in the field from Aug. 10-14.

The AP/NORC survey included 1,165 adults and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. Quinnipiac surveyed 1,818 adults with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 2.3 percentage points.